How It Works Approach Who It's For Roadmap The Challenge Work With Us Contact Request Access ↗
Orbital Risk · Sustainability · Intelligence · Valuation Analytics

When should a
satellite leave orbit?

ORSIVA answers that question.

Continuous risk and liability intelligence — per satellite, per fleet. The ORSIVA Score tells you when to act, what it costs to wait, and how to defend the decision.

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5yr
New regulatory
disposal mandate
~60%
PMD compliance
rate today
$50M+
Value at risk on a
high-value LEO asset
1
ORSIVA Score —
one clear verdict
Sources: 5-year disposal mandate — FCC 25-704(b), ESA Space Debris Mitigation Policy, UK Space Act. LEO post-mission disposal compliance ~40–70% of payload mass at end-of-life — ESA Space Environment Report 2025. Value at risk: illustrative, based on typical insured LEO asset values.
Validated Iridium-33 / Cosmos-2251 collision (Feb 2009) — ORSIVA flags Cosmos-2251 INITIATE from day one (defunct, no fuel), Iridium-33 INITIATE ~40 months before impact. View backtest ↗
The Challenge

End-of-life is a decision, not a checkbox

Operators have tracking and conjunction alerts. What they lack is a structured way to decide when a satellite should leave orbit — weighing remaining value against rising risk and a hard regulatory deadline.

It is an optimal-stopping problem with money on both sides: deorbit too early and you lose revenue; too late and you face breach, collision risk, liability and debris. And the people making the call are predictably biased toward delay.

I
Engineering
Monitors fuel and subsystem health — but ignores economic value and regulatory timing constraints.
II
Compliance
Tracks static rules (25-year, now 5-year) without dynamic, stochastic risk — and the rules keep changing.
III
Finance & the human
Models depreciation but lacks orbital context — and ignores the behavioural biases that delay the right call.
Result: disconnected silos, no unified model, biased timing — and compounding liability.
Technical Brief
How It Works

One question.
One clear answer.

Point ORSIVA at a satellite. It scores the risk and the economics of the timing, and returns a verdict you can act on — and defend.

72
/ 100
ORSIVA Score
Sample asset · LEO
Decision
Initiate disposalHigh risk · regulatory deadline approaching
Economics
Act within ~1 monthValue-at-risk $1.6M · delaying costs more than acting
Cost of delay
~$90k / month deferredEvery month of inaction increases expected liability — acting now costs less than waiting

Every verdict is logged and audit-ready for regulators, insurers and operators. ORSIVA recommends — the operator always decides.

Approach

The decision layer for a satellite's final orbit.

Tracking data, regulation and financial exposure become one scored recommendation — with the full working shown behind it.

01
Decide
A scored, explainable recommendation on exactly when to act.
02
Quantify
The economics of the timing — the optimal moment, and the value at stake.
03
Act
Recommendations framed, through decision science, to be acted on with confidence.
The ORSIVA Score
A single 0–100 score — lower is safer, banded from CONTINUE to ACT NOW.
Always current
Regulation worldwide, tracked and kept up to date automatically.
Sustainable by design
Every verdict values a cleaner orbit.
Built For

Decision intelligence the whole orbital economy can trust.

For
Operators
Optimal end-of-life timing
Reduced liability exposure
Audit-ready decision trail
For
Regulators
Transparent compliance evidence
Standardised reporting
Machine-readable audit logs
For
Insurers
Quantified disposal risk bands
Actuarial-grade inputs
Expected loss per satellite
For
Investors
Sustainability infrastructure
ESG-aligned governance tooling
Regulatory-tailwind exposure
Development Roadmap

What comes next

I
Built & running
Live now
The full decision engine, fleet risk matrix, orbital console and backtest mode are operational — risk and economics scored into the ORSIVA Score, plus an AI regulatory-intelligence engine. Operators can upload real mass, cross-section and fuel to sharpen Δv budgets and decay estimates.
II
Live data & first pilots
Q3 2026
Live ingestion from CelesTrak and Space-Track, and the first design-partner pilots — ORSIVA run on real fleets in shadow mode, alongside existing processes.
III
Standardisation
Ongoing
Working with agencies and insurers toward standardised end-of-life reporting and a cross-operator coordination layer.
Work With Us

Help us shape the first version.

We're choosing a small group of partners to test ORSIVA against real fleets, real regulation and real decisions. If end-of-life is a problem you live with — or a field you study — we want to build it with you.

01
Design & Pilot Partners
Operators who'll run ORSIVA against their own fleet and steer the roadmap. Early partners get direct influence over the product and preferential terms.
02
Advisors & Mentors
Operators, regulators and decision-science experts willing to lend judgement and open doors — high-trust roles, recognised in equity.
03
Regulators & Insurers
Bodies shaping end-of-life standards and pricing disposal risk — partner with us to make ORSIVA's outputs audit-ready and actuarial-grade from the start.
Start a conversation
Contact

Ready to make the right call on orbit?

We work with operators, regulators and insurers. If you operate in LEO, we want to hear from you.

Email
contact@orsiva.space
Web
orsiva.space
Schedule a Call
30-min introduction
Download Technical Brief
Request a Demo

See ORSIVA
in action.

Send us a short email — tell us about your fleet, orbital regime, and what you’d like to see. We’ll prepare a tailored demonstration of ORSIVA applied to your satellites, and send you a password for the live console so you can explore it yourself — load the demo fleet, run the ORSIVA Score, and inspect the loss model and Δv budgets.

Request a demo Technical Brief
Contact
contact@orsiva.space · We respond within one business day.